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2024-12-13 23:55:32

Institution: A small interest rate cut by the European Central Bank may have a neutral impact on euro credit. Analysts of Yuxin Bank said in a report that the European Central Bank is expected to announce a 25 basis point interest rate cut tonight, which should have a neutral impact on euro-denominated credit. Analysts said that if the central bank cuts interest rates by 50 basis points further, it is unlikely to be beneficial to euro credit, because it will raise concerns about economic growth in the euro zone. According to the data of LSEG Refinitiv, the possibility that the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates by 25 basis points is 83%, while the possibility of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 17%. Yuxin Bank said that as the European Central Bank continues to cut interest rates, the euro credit spread may fluctuate slightly or tighten slightly in the coming months.Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. The Party Committee of China Securities Regulatory Commission decided that Comrade Lu Dongsheng was appointed Deputy Secretary and General Manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. Comrade Wang Fenghai no longer serves as deputy secretary and general manager of the Party Committee of Shanghai Futures Exchange. (website of last issue)The Nikkei 225 index just broke through the 39,900.00 mark, and the latest report was 39,899.07, up 1.34% in the day.


Reuters survey: In December, the Bank of England decided to keep interest rates unchanged or cut interest rates by 100 basis points next year. All 71 economists surveyed during December 6-11 predicted that the Bank of England would keep its target interest rate unchanged at 4.75% at its meeting on December 19. Among the economists who predict the interest rate outlook until the end of 2025, about 54% (36 out of 67) expect to cut interest rates by 100 basis points by the end of next year, another 17 expect to cut interest rates by at least 125 basis points, and 14 expect to cut interest rates by at most 75 basis points.EU finalizes new sanctions against Russia: strike against the "shadow fleet". According to a report on the website of German newspaper Sü ddeutsche Zeitung on December 11th, EU countries have reached an agreement on a new package of sanctions against Russia. Several diplomats told DPA that the new sanctions were aimed at strengthening the crackdown on the so-called "Russian shadow fleet" transporting oil and petroleum products. It is reported that more than 50 ships will be banned from entering EU ports. In addition, they can no longer get the services of EU enterprises. In June this year, the EU has taken preliminary measures to blacklist more than 20 Russian ships. It is reported that this is the 15th package of sanctions against Russia drawn up by the EU so far. The plan also stipulates that trade with more than 30 other business entities should be restricted, and the EU has determined that they should keep in touch with the Russian defense and security departments. In addition, the EU also plans to impose an entry ban and asset freeze on some individuals. According to the report, senior EU officials are pleased that member States have reached a consensus on this. Kaya Karas, the EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy, said: "This will further weaken (Russian President) Putin's war machine." Roberta Metsola, Speaker of the European Parliament, said: "This sends another strong signal: our support for Ukraine will not weaken." The sanctions plan will be officially confirmed at the meeting of foreign ministers of member States in Brussels on the 16th, and then will be published in the official gazette of the European Union and come into effect. (Reference message)Kremlin spokesman: (Asked if Putin has been invited to attend Trump's inauguration ceremony) No invitation has been received.


Schlegel, Governor of the Swiss National Bank: We still have ammunition left over in terms of interest rates. Inflationary pressure has dropped in the medium term. Our main tool is the policy interest rate, through which we can influence the economy and exchange rate.IEA Monthly Report: The daily output of the refinery will reach the annual peak of 84.3 million barrels in December. It is estimated that in 2024, the daily output of the refinery will increase by 520,000 barrels to an average of 82.7 million barrels per day. It is estimated that in 2025, the daily output of refineries will increase by 620,000 barrels to an average of 83.3 million barrels per day.IEA Monthly Report: So far, gasoline is the main factor that drags down the growth of global oil demand.

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